StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County v Fleetwood Town

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Newport County 1–1 Fleetwood Town

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Newport County (Hemma)

Prognos 28.67%3.49rättvist odds
EV -2.53%
Fördel -0.744%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.81%28.75%28.57%30.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.32%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fleetwood Town (Borta)

Prognos 44.47%2.25rättvist odds
EV -4.38%
Fördel -2.04%
Kelly -3.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.22%44.38%44.56%45.18%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.082.072.1550.00%48.16%48.31%46.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.86%3.72rättvist odds
EV -3.31%
Fördel -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.53%26.87%26.87%27.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.58%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Newport County (Hemma): 28.67%; Fleetwood Town (Borta): 44.47%; Oavgjort: 26.86%. För Newport County (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.49. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.40, med väntevärdet -2.53%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-09 15:51
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 11:40
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 11:39
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 15:51
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 14:05
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 15:46
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 14:05
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 08:39
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 02:50
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:40
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 08:39
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:15
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-09 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.37%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:16
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 08:45
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 14:32
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 04:09
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 15:51
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:51
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:51
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:29
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:15
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:51
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 21:30
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.05%E -5.53%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 15:51
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 11:39
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:39
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 04:40
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -8.38%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 04:40
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 10:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 08:15
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 07:20
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 09:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 17:00
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%3.9%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%4.3%2026-09-09 16:55
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%5.2%2026-09-09 17:30