Idioma:Español
Newport County v Fleetwood Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.744%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.81%28.75%28.57%30.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.32%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fleetwood Town (Visitante)
Predicción 44.47%2.25momio equitativo
EV -4.38%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -3.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.38%44.56%45.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.072.1550.00%48.16%48.31%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.87%26.87%27.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.58%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Newport County (Local): 28.67%; Fleetwood Town (Visitante): 44.47%; Empate: 26.86%. Para Newport County (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.49. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.40, con un valor esperado de -2.53%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.37%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 14:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.05%E -5.53%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -8.38%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |