Язык:Русский
Newport County v Fleetwood Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Newport County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 28.67%3.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.53%
Преимущество -0.744%
Kelly -1.05%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.81%28.75%28.57%30.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.053.193.203.4032.79%31.32%31.25%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Fleetwood Town (Гости)
Прогноз 44.47%2.25справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.38%
Преимущество -2.04%
Kelly -3.81%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.15
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
43.22%44.38%44.56%45.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.082.072.1550.00%48.16%48.31%46.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.86%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.31%
Преимущество -0.919%
Kelly -1.27%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.53%26.87%26.87%27.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.58%29.41%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Newport County (Хозяева): 28.67%; Fleetwood Town (Гости): 44.47%; Ничья: 26.86%. Для исхода «Newport County (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.49. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.40, математическое ожидание — -2.53%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.53%E -0.744%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.96%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 15:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.38%E -2.04%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.38%EV -4.12%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 02:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.13%EV -6.16%E -2.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.22%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -7.12%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.37%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -8.14%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 08:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 14:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 04:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 17:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.97%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.05%E -5.53%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 15:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-09 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.49%E -3.60%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -10.02%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.59%EV -7.94%E -3.84%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -8.38%E -4.07%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -3.31%E -0.919%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.83%E -4.31%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 08:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.60%E -3.14%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.37%E -3.44%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -10.16%E -5.03%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -12.56%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -5.71%E -2.70%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.34%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 09:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00% | 4.3% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |