Language:English
Newport County v Colchester United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV +1.66%
Edge +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colchester United (Visit)
Prediction 48.96%2.04fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -0.754%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 23.92%; Colchester United (Visit): 48.96%; Draw: 27.12%. For Newport County (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |