مدرسة الاحتمالات

Newport County v Colchester United

البداية: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Newport County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.92%4.18السعر العادل
EV +1.66%
الأفضلية +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Colchester United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.96%2.04السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.12%3.69السعر العادل
EV -0.754%
الأفضلية -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:33
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:49
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:49
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:38
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:35
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:34
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:34
1xBet3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:39
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:39
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:35
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:34
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
LowVig.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:45
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:44
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-03-07 14:49