Язык:Русский
Newport County v Colchester United
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Newport County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 23.92%4.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.66%
Преимущество +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Colchester United (Гости)
Прогноз 48.96%2.04справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.52%
Преимущество -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.12%3.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.754%
Преимущество -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.66
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Newport County (Хозяева): 23.92%; Colchester United (Гости): 48.96%; Ничья: 27.12%. Для исхода «Newport County (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.18. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.25, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.66%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |