La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Newport County v Colchester United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Newport County (Local)
Predicción 23.92%4.18momio equitativo
EV +1.66%
Ventaja +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Colchester United (Visitante)
Predicción 48.96%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -0.754%
Ventaja -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetUS | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| William Hill | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Everygame | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |