A Escola das Odds

Newport County v Colchester United

Início: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Newport County (Local)

Previsão 23.92%4.18odd justa
EV +1.66%
Vantagem +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Colchester United (Visitante)

Previsão 48.96%2.04odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.12%3.69odd justa
EV -0.754%
Vantagem -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:49
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:50
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:33
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:49
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:49
LeoVegas4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 05:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 14:39
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:38
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:35
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:34
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:34
1xBet3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:39
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:39
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Pinnacle3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:35
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 14:39
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:40
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:54
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:39
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Codere (IT)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:35
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:34
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 14:34
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:39
LowVig.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:45
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:44
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%1.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%2.4%2026-03-07 14:49