L’École des cotesFrançais
Newport County v Colchester United
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Newport County (Local)
Prévision 23.92%4.18cote équitable
EV +1.66%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.510%
Croissance +0.008%
avec la cote maximale 4.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.65%23.84%23.90%24.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.953.904.2527.40%25.30%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Colchester United (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.96%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -4.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.66%49.09%48.92%50.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.60%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV -0.754%
Avantage -0.206%
Kelly -0.283%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.82%27.07%27.18%29.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6633.33%29.46%29.41%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Grosvenor | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Casumo | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| betPARX | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV +1.66%E +0.390%K +0.510%G +0.008% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -11.37%E -6.28%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.16%E -2.73%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:49 |
| LeoVegas | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV +0.460%E +0.110%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.80%EV -12.35%E -6.90%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 05:50 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 14:38 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.32%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.52%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 1xBet | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.77%EV -6.00%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.32%EV -7.26%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.63%EV -6.24%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -4.55%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.09%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| theScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.72%E -1.72%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.62%EV -7.43%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.36%EV -5.50%E -2.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -0.754%E -0.206%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.38%E -0.661%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetUS | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.93%E -4.80%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -9.11%E -2.40%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| William Hill | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.30%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.40%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -18.65%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -11.50%E -3.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.67I 27.25%NM 24.92%EV -12.22%E -3.33%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.43%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.44%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.80%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Everygame | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -12.70%E -3.48%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.42%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |