Language:English
Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chesterfield FC (Local)
Prediction 51.50%1.94fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 21.89%4.57fair odd
EV -0.633%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.61%3.76fair odd
EV -0.200%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chesterfield FC (Local): 51.50%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 21.89%; Draw: 26.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.200%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |