默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town

开赛时间: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chesterfield FC (主队)

预测 51.50%1.94公平赔率
EV -5.76%
优势 -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shrewsbury Town (客队)

预测 21.89%4.57公平赔率
EV -0.633%
优势 -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.54

博彩公司预测分布
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.61%3.76公平赔率
EV -0.200%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chesterfield FC (主队):51.50%;Shrewsbury Town (客队):21.89%;平局:26.61%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.75,期望值为-0.200%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 13:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 13:39
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:29
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 10:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-03-07 14:55