StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town

Matchstart: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Chesterfield FC (Hemma)

Prognos 51.50%1.94rättvist odds
EV -5.76%
Fördel -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.83

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Borta)

Prognos 21.89%4.57rättvist odds
EV -0.633%
Fördel -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.54

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.61%3.76rättvist odds
EV -0.200%
Fördel -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Chesterfield FC (Hemma): 51.50%; Shrewsbury Town (Borta): 21.89%; Oavgjort: 26.61%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.76. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.75, med väntevärdet -0.200%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 13:39
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:44
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 13:39
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:29
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:35
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 10:45
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-03-07 14:55