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Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chesterfield FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.50%1.94справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.76%
Преимущество -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.83
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shrewsbury Town (Гости)
Прогноз 21.89%4.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.633%
Преимущество -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.61%3.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.200%
Преимущество -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chesterfield FC (Хозяева): 51.50%; Shrewsbury Town (Гости): 21.89%; Ничья: 26.61%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.76. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.75, математическое ожидание — -0.200%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 15:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 09:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 10:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |