La escuela de los momios

Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Predicción 51.50%1.94momio equitativo
EV -5.76%
Ventaja -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Predicción 21.89%4.57momio equitativo
EV -0.633%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.61%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.200%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 13:39
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:54
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:44
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:33
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 13:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:34
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:35
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:14
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:14
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 10:45
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-03-07 14:55