L’École des cotes

Chesterfield FC v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chesterfield FC (Local)

Prévision 51.50%1.94cote équitable
EV -5.76%
Avantage -3.15%
Kelly -6.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.11%51.45%51.50%53.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.801.801.8357.80%55.63%55.56%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.89%4.57cote équitable
EV -0.633%
Avantage -0.139%
Kelly -0.179%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.91%21.92%21.88%22.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.204.204.5425.00%23.81%23.81%22.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.61%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.200%
Avantage -0.053%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%26.63%26.62%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.453.7532.26%28.91%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 13:39
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:54
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.73%EV -10.04%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.24%EV -5.26%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -5.76%E -3.15%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.59%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -4.79%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 08:44
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:33
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.27%E -3.45%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -6.98%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.51%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.94%EV -0.633%E -0.139%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.55%EV -4.72%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -6.79%E -3.75%K -8.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.18%E -2.37%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.19%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 13:39
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.52%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.60%EV -6.59%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 10:34
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:29
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:35
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:49
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -7.30%E -4.06%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.26%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -12.18%E -3.69%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:14
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -7.82%E -4.37%K -9.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -7.39%E -2.12%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:14
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -8.33%E -4.68%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -12.45%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 15:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 10:45
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:19
Codere (IT)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.49%EV -8.85%E -5.00%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.52%E -2.80%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 09:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -0.200%E -0.053%K -0.073%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:35
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.70%E -0.840%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.89%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.85%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 10:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -9.88%E -5.64%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -5.23%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.85%E -3.24%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -10.91%E -6.30%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -8.07%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -17.50%E -5.64%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-07 14:50
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%2.3%2026-03-07 14:55