Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading (Local)

Prediction 29.45%3.40fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.33%29.48%29.44%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.153.2634.48%31.65%31.75%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.88%43.14%43.10%44.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.132.152.2250.51%46.89%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.501%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%27.39%27.46%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.393.403.6030.77%29.50%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reading (Local): 29.45%; Luton (Visit): 43.13%; Draw: 27.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.39%EV -3.99%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.16%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.45%EV -4.32%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 15:00
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 10:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 11:35
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:29
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -4.28%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -10.29%E -4.94%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 07:30
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.18%EV -5.46%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.77%EV -5.54%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 17:19
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 09:47
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 11:49
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 11:34
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 11:49
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:04
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 15:05
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:04
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 10:02
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 17:13
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.75%E -1.80%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 06:43
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:40
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.25%E -1.91%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:39
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 11:49
theScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.41%E -1.57%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 09:49
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.02%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 16:54
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 14:00
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 13:58
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.56%EV -12.87%E -6.37%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.16%E -2.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 07:30
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -7.23%E -2.29%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 07:30
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -6.40%E -2.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.04%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-13 11:50
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.30%E -0.362%K -0.501%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-14 11:34
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 15:29
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-13 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 15:54
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 15:55
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:35
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 06:29
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -14.60%E -7.37%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 07:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -8.70%E -2.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -14.60%E -7.37%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 07:30
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -5.11%E -2.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -9.53%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 15:17
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.17%E -3.34%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 11:49
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.65%E -3.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.27%E -3.38%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.90%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 16:54
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.59%E -5.03%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.42%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -6.79%E -2.00%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-08-14 15:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-08-14 15:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-08-14 15:29
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%2.2%2026-08-14 17:19
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.0%2026-08-14 15:40

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