Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 — League 1

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Reading (Local)

Odds

2.6238.17%Min

2.7536.32%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.8435.21%Max

Consensus probabilities

32.87%3.042Min

33.71%2.967Max

33.09%3.022Mean

33.09%3.022Median

33.07%3.024IQM

33.07%3.024Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.84 under the IQM model: 33.07%

EV -6.08%Edge -2.14%Kelly -3.31%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Luton (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.2744.08%Mean

2.2444.64%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.07%2.560Min

40.54%2.467Max

40.08%2.495Mean

40.14%2.491Median

40.13%2.492IQM

40.08%2.495Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.13%

EV -3.69%Edge -1.54%Kelly -2.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.4029.44%Mean

3.4029.41%Median

3.5028.57%Max

Consensus probabilities

26.59%3.761Min

27.65%3.617Max

26.82%3.728Mean

26.77%3.736Median

26.80%3.731IQM

26.85%3.724Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 26.80%

EV -6.19%Edge -1.77%Kelly -2.48%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Reading (Local) ▼	Luton (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.84I 35.21% NM 32.98%EV -6.08% E -2.14% K -3.31% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.86%EV -5.70% E -2.43% K -4.22% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.15%EV -7.53% E -2.18% K -3.07% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-30 05:40
Marathon Bet	2.83I 35.34% NM 32.95%EV -6.41% E -2.27% K -3.50% G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92% NM 40.02%EV -6.50% E -2.79% K -4.89% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.03%EV -7.53% E -2.18% K -3.07% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betr (AU)	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -7.40% E -2.64% K -4.11% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -3.69% E -1.54% K -2.64% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -6.19% E -1.77% K -2.48% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 05:38
betfred_uk	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -7.40% E -2.64% K -4.11% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -3.69% E -1.54% K -2.64% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -6.19% E -1.77% K -2.48% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-30 05:39
SportsBet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.43%EV -7.40% E -2.64% K -4.11% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.83%EV -5.70% E -2.43% K -4.22% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.74%EV -6.19% E -1.77% K -2.48% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-30 05:39
Bet Right	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.43%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.12%EV -5.70% E -2.43% K -4.22% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.44%EV -10.21% E -3.05% K -4.35% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.80%EV -7.71% E -3.35% K -5.93% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.92%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-30 05:39
Codere (IT)	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.15%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.64%EV -7.71% E -3.35% K -5.93% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.21%EV -10.21% E -3.05% K -4.35% G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.99%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 09:39
888sport	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.99%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.99%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.99%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.68%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.87%EV -9.06% E -3.29% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.54%EV -10.51% E -4.71% K -8.55% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.59%EV -8.87% E -2.61% K -3.70% G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.28%EV -10.71% E -3.97% K -6.30% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.07%EV -7.71% E -3.35% K -5.93% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.65%EV -12.89% E -3.97% K -5.73% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-04 18:35
Sky Bet	2.70I 37.04% NM 32.99%EV -10.71% E -3.97% K -6.30% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 39.59%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.41%EV -12.89% E -3.97% K -5.73% G +0.000%	12.3%	2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.63I 38.02% NM 32.45%EV -13.03% E -4.95% K -7.99% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 37.93%EV -9.71% E -4.32% K -7.77% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.63%EV -22.81% E -7.92% K -12.13% G +0.000%	17.2%	2026-06-30 06:19
BoyleSports	2.62I 38.17% NM 33.50%EV -13.36% E -5.10% K -8.25% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.90%EV -11.72% E -5.33% K -9.77% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.60%EV -11.55% E -3.50% K -5.02% G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-06-30 05:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Reading (Local)	Luton (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.27I 78.74%	1.27I 78.74%	3.00I 33.33%	90.8%	2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.27I 78.74%	1.27I 78.74%	3.00I 33.33%	90.8%	2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.27I 78.74%	1.27I 78.74%	3.00I 33.33%	90.8%	2026-07-05 14:15