The School of Odds

Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Reading (Local)

Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.33%33.01%33.06%33.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.752.8738%36%36%35%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Luton (Visit)

Prediction 39.93%2.50fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%39.85%39.94%40.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.272.4045%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.03%3.70fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.13%27.00%28.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.403.5031%29%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -6.16%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.96%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:38
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 07:34
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:25
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 22:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:36
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 05:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.43%E -5.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.15%E -5.52%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%11.9%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00