مدرسة الاحتمالات

Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Reading (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.04%3.03السعر العادل
EV -5.17%
الأفضلية -1.80%
Kelly -2.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.33%33.01%33.06%33.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.622.772.752.8738.17%36.05%36.36%34.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.93%2.50السعر العادل
EV -4.16%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -2.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.36%39.85%39.94%40.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.292.272.4045.45%43.69%43.96%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.03%3.70السعر العادل
EV -5.41%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -2.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.59%27.13%27.00%28.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.393.403.5031.25%29.49%29.41%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -6.16%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.96%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:38
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 07:34
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:25
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 22:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:36
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 05:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.43%E -5.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.15%E -5.52%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-30 05:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%11.9%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00