La escuela de los momios

Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reading (Local)

Predicción 33.04%3.03momio equitativo
EV -5.17%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -2.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.33%33.01%33.06%33.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.752.8738.17%36.05%36.36%34.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Luton (Visitante)

Predicción 39.93%2.50momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%39.85%39.94%40.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.292.272.4045.45%43.69%43.96%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -5.41%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.59%27.13%27.00%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.393.403.5031.25%29.49%29.41%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -6.16%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.96%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:38
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 07:34
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:25
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 22:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:36
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 05:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.43%E -5.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.15%E -5.52%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%11.9%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00