Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Reading v Luton

Początek: 2026-08-15 11:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Reading 3–4 Luton

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Reading (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 31.96%3.13kurs godziwy
EV +3.86%
Przewaga +1.19%
Kelly +1.72%
Wzrost +0.066%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.84%31.80%31.99%32.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.802.952.913.2535.71%33.95%34.36%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luton (Goście)

Prognoza 40.85%2.45kurs godziwy
EV -2.79%
Przewaga -1.17%
Kelly -2.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.49%41.02%40.84%43.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.252.252.3847.62%44.38%44.44%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.20%3.68kurs godziwy
EV -1.00%
Przewaga -0.276%
Kelly -0.380%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.64

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.03%27.18%27.17%28.07%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.153.383.403.6431.75%29.60%29.41%27.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Reading (Gospodarze): 31.96%; Luton (Goście): 40.85%; Remis: 27.20%. Dla wyniku Reading (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.13. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.86%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV +3.86%E +1.19%K +1.72%G +0.066%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -12.18%E -5.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 11:35
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -0.932%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.89%E -2.65%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 11:14
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -2.53%E -0.829%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:20
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:19
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 11:23
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.09%E -0.581%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.18%E -5.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:14
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -12.18%E -5.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.61%E -3.57%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:15
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -12.59%E -5.88%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.98%EV -12.59%E -5.88%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.07%EV -12.97%E -4.05%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 11:14
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.62%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV -1.00%E -0.276%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:19
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -14.22%E -6.77%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.33%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -5.73%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -14.22%E -6.77%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -14.33%E -4.55%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 11:14
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.15%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.50%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.03%EV -7.00%E -2.41%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -6.46%E -2.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.26%EV -6.99%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -3.45%E -0.972%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 11:14
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -2.09%E -0.581%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 11:15
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 11:25
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:13
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -7.32%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -9.32%E -4.20%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.96%E -2.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.81%E -1.37%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:24
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.96%E -2.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -7.96%E -2.76%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.18%E -5.67%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.60%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.60%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:15
BetUS🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -8.60%E -3.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.49%EV -2.79%E -1.17%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:24
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.92%E -3.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 11:14
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:24
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:24
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.25%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 11:24
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.52%E -3.76%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.53%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 11:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.26%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.41%-0.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-08-15 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-08-15 11:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-15 11:25