L’École des cotes

Reading v Luton

2026-08-15 11:30 UTC — League 1

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reading (Local)

Prévision 33.04%3.03cote équitable
EV -5.17%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -2.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.33%33.01%33.06%33.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.752.8738.17%36.05%36.36%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.93%2.50cote équitable
EV -4.16%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.36%39.85%39.94%40.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.292.272.4045.45%43.69%43.96%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.03%3.70cote équitable
EV -5.41%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.59%27.13%27.00%28.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.393.403.5031.25%29.49%29.41%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -5.17%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 19:44
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.83%E -2.04%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 19:44
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -6.16%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.04%EV -6.96%E -2.99%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.03%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.76%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 18:35
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:38
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 05:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -4.96%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-09 07:34
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.41%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 05:39
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-17 19:44
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -4.16%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.52%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-17 12:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:25
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 22:45
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.16%E -2.62%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-30 05:39
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-30 05:39
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 16:35
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 14:24
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 08:36
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 18:35
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:39
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 09:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:39
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 09:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:20
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -9.13%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -10.95%E -4.91%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.11%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:39
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.78%E -3.99%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.15%E -4.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.17%E -3.74%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 05:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.43%E -5.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.15%E -5.52%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-30 05:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%11.9%2026-07-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%1.70I 58.82%NM 39.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 21.79%50.4%2026-07-22 18:00