Language:English
Reading v Cardiff City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reading (Local)
Prediction 18.23%5.49fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cardiff City (Visit)
Prediction 59.30%1.69fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 18.23%; Cardiff City (Visit): 59.30%; Draw: 22.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |