La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Reading v Cardiff City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Reading (Local)
Predicción 18.23%5.49momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cardiff City (Visitante)
Predicción 59.30%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.47%4.45momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |