A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Reading v Cardiff City
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Reading (Local)
Previsão 18.23%5.49odd justa
EV -1.58%
Vantagem -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Cardiff City (Visitante)
Previsão 59.30%1.69odd justa
EV -4.52%
Vantagem -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 22.47%4.45odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
Crescimento +0.004%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |