مدرسة الاحتمالات

Reading v Cardiff City

البداية: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Reading 1–3 Cardiff City

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Reading (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.23%5.49السعر العادل
EV -1.58%
الأفضلية -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cardiff City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.30%1.69السعر العادل
EV -4.52%
الأفضلية -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.47%4.45السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 14:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%2.6%2026-04-18 14:00