Школа коэффициентов

Reading v Cardiff City

Начало: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Итог: Reading 1–3 Cardiff City

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

52 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Reading (Хозяева)

Прогноз 18.23%5.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.58%
Преимущество -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Cardiff City (Гости)

Прогноз 59.30%1.69справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.52%
Преимущество -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.47%4.45справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.12%
Преимущество +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004%7.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Codere (IT)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:55
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09%0.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%2.6%2026-04-18 14:00