L’École des cotesFrançais
Reading v Cardiff City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Reading (Local)
Prévision 18.23%5.49cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.359%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%18.17%18.37%19.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.065.005.4022.22%19.75%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cardiff City (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.30%1.69cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -7.42%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%59.31%59.29%60.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.571.571.6165.79%63.76%63.69%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.47%4.45cote équitable
EV +1.12%
Avantage +0.250%
Kelly +0.321%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%22.53%22.34%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.104.104.5028.57%24.37%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +1.12%E +0.250%K +0.321%G +0.004% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.50%EV -5.41%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.63%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.87%EV -1.35%E -0.307%K -0.398%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -2.70%E -0.623%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.09%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.37%E -0.784%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -7.05%E -1.38%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.86%E -6.49%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.62%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.22%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.74%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -3.40%E -0.642%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.84%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.55%EV -6.97%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -4.52%E -2.81%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -5.12%E -3.20%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.22%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.35%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.67%E -5.63%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Everygame | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.87%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -5.71%E -3.59%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -4.31%E -0.821%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -6.90%E -4.39%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.69%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -7.49%E -4.80%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.43%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.11%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -1.58%E -0.292%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -6.30%E -3.99%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -11.24%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TAB | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -8.87%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -8.08%E -5.21%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.36%E -3.17%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.98%E -4.00%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.27%E -6.06%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.35%E -6.10%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.09% | 0.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.64% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |