Школа коэффициентов

Luton v Northampton Town

Начало: 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC

Итог: Luton 2–1 Northampton Town

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Luton (Хозяева)

Прогноз 72.08%1.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.13%
Преимущество -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.33

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Northampton Town (Гости)

Прогноз 10.76%9.29справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.60%
Преимущество +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Рост +0.064%

при максимальном коэффициенте 10.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 17.16%5.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.94%
Преимущество +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:30
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:15
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:59
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:30
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012%4.5%2026-04-15 18:01
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:39
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 17:30
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 18:01
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:39
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:40
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 18:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 18:01
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 18:00
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 18:00
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-04-15 18:00