Szkoła Kursów

Luton v Northampton Town

Początek: 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Luton 2–1 Northampton Town

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Luton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 72.08%1.39kurs godziwy
EV -4.13%
Przewaga -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Northampton Town (Goście)

Prognoza 10.76%9.29kurs godziwy
EV +7.60%
Przewaga +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Wzrost +0.064%

przy maksymalnym kursie 10.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 17.16%5.83kurs godziwy
EV +2.94%
Przewaga +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:30
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:15
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:59
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:30
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:29
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012%4.5%2026-04-15 18:01
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:39
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Marathon Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 17:30
1xBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 18:01
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:39
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:40
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 18:00
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 18:01
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 18:00
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 18:00
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Codere (IT)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-04-15 18:00