La escuela de los momiosLuton v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 72.08%1.39momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 10.76%9.29momio equitativo
EV +7.60%
Ventaja +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.16%5.83momio equitativo
EV +2.94%
Ventaja +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |