L’École des cotesFrançais
Luton v Northampton Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luton (Local)
Prévision 72.08%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Northampton Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 10.76%9.29cote équitable
EV +7.60%
Avantage +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Croissance +0.064%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 17.16%5.83cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |