StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luton v Northampton Town

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-15 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Luton 2–1 Northampton Town

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

53 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Luton (Heim)

Prognose 72.08%1.39faire Quote
EV -4.13%
Vorteil -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Northampton Town (Auswärts)

Prognose 10.76%9.29faire Quote
EV +7.60%
Vorteil +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Wachstum +0.064%

bei einer Höchstquote von 10.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.16%5.83faire Quote
EV +2.94%
Vorteil +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Wachstum +0.017%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Luton (Heim): 72.08%; Northampton Town (Auswärts): 10.76%; Unentschieden: 17.16%. Für Northampton Town (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 9.29. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 10.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +7.60%.

Wettanbieterquoten (53 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 17:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:15
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 17:59
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012%4.5%2026-04-15 18:01
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:40
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 07:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-15 17:30
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 18:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-15 18:01
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:39
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 07:40
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-15 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-15 07:39
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 18:01
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 18:00
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 18:00
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-15 18:00
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-15 18:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-04-15 18:00
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.8%2026-04-15 18:00