La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Luton v Northampton Town
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Luton (Casa)
Previsione 72.08%1.39quota equa
EV -4.13%
Vantaggio -3.10%
Kelly -12.51%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.30%72.06%72.20%74.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.291.291.3381.97%77.56%77.52%75.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Northampton Town (Trasferta)
Previsione 10.76%9.29quota equa
EV +7.60%
Vantaggio +0.760%
Kelly +0.844%
Crescita +0.064%
ipotizzando la quota massima 10.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
9.18%10.79%10.69%12.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.508.668.8010.0013.33%11.54%11.36%10.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 17.16%5.83quota equa
EV +2.94%
Vantaggio +0.491%
Kelly +0.589%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.55%17.14%17.11%19.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.335.256.0022.22%18.75%19.05%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +7.60%E +0.760%K +0.844%G +0.064% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +4.91%E +0.503%K +0.561%G +0.028% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 17:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +2.94%E +0.491%K +0.589%G +0.017% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 17:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.70%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.72%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -12.06%E -9.88%K -54.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.18%EV +2.22%E +0.233%K +0.261%G +0.006% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -22.79%E -5.06%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.58%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.40%EV -1.01%E -0.110%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.02%EV +2.43%E +0.407%K +0.489%G +0.012% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -9.07%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.84%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.71%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -2.20%E -0.387%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -3.16%E -0.352%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-15 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.60%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.52%EV -4.24%E -0.476%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.88%EV -4.78%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.18%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.58%EV -5.32%E -0.604%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 07:40 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -8.54%E -1.01%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -12.50%E -2.45%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-15 07:39 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.99%EV -8.45%E -6.66%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.08%EV -11.23%E -1.36%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.35%E -0.234%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.13%E -3.10%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.63%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -13.92%E -1.74%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.21%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.91%EV -16.08%E -2.06%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV -3.92%E -0.700%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Neds | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -4.85%E -3.67%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.04%EV -16.61%E -2.14%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -7.35%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.53%EV -7.01%E -5.44%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 11.97%EV -18.23%E -2.40%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -10.78%E -2.07%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.29%E -4.84%K -20.97%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -19.30%E -2.57%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.92%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.18% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.93% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 1.8% | 2026-04-15 18:00 |