语言:简体中文
Luton v Exeter City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Luton (主队)
预测 58.58%1.71公平赔率
EV -2.76%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Exeter City (客队)
预测 18.66%5.36公平赔率
EV +2.62%
优势 +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
增长率 +0.015%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.76%4.39公平赔率
EV +2.44%
优势 +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
增长率 +0.017%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Luton (主队)：58.58%；Exeter City (客队)：18.66%；平局：22.76%。 对于“Exeter City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.36。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+2.62%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |