L’École des cotesFrançais
Luton v Exeter City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Luton (Local)
Prévision 58.58%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.76%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Exeter City (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.66%5.36cote équitable
EV +2.62%
Avantage +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 5.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV +2.44%
Avantage +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |