A Escola das Odds

Luton v Exeter City

Início: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Luton (Local)

Previsão 58.58%1.71odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 18.66%5.36odd justa
EV +2.62%
Vantagem +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.76%4.39odd justa
EV +2.44%
Vantagem +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:45
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 15:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:39
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:30
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40