النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Luton v Exeter City

البداية: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Luton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.58%1.71السعر العادل
EV -2.76%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Exeter City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.66%5.36السعر العادل
EV +2.62%
الأفضلية +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.76%4.39السعر العادل
EV +2.44%
الأفضلية +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Luton (المضيف)⁩: ⁨58.58%⁩؛ ⁨Exeter City (الضيف)⁩: ⁨18.66%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨22.76%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Exeter City (الضيف)⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.36⁩. عرضت 3 شركات مراهنات أسعار إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨5.50⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+2.62%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 15:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:40
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 18:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40