La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Luton v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Luton (Local)
Predicción 58.58%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.76%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 18.66%5.36momio equitativo
EV +2.62%
Ventaja +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV +2.44%
Ventaja +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 15:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |