Szkoła Kursów

Luton v Exeter City

Początek: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Luton (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.58%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -2.76%
Przewaga -1.66%
Kelly -4.18%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.27%58.52%58.64%60.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.531.601.601.6665.36%62.51%62.50%60.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Exeter City (Goście)

Prognoza 18.66%5.36kurs godziwy
EV +2.62%
Przewaga +0.476%
Kelly +0.582%
Wzrost +0.015%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.31%18.61%18.63%20.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.504.914.935.5022.22%20.36%20.30%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.76%4.39kurs godziwy
EV +2.44%
Przewaga +0.543%
Kelly +0.698%
Wzrost +0.017%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.66%22.86%22.72%24.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.504.024.004.5028.57%24.90%25.00%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV +2.44%E +0.543%K +0.698%G +0.017%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.97%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.45%EV +2.62%E +0.476%K +0.582%G +0.015%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.58%EV -3.25%E -0.765%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 59.84%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.47%EV +2.24%E +0.410%K +0.501%G +0.011%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.69%EV -3.93%E -0.932%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 19:30
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 15:45
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.39%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -8.62%E -5.53%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -5.53%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -5.78%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.52%EV -5.75%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 15:40
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 19:40
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -5.10%E -3.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 15:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.66%E -1.63%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 19:39
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:30
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:39
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:30
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.03%E -5.12%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.94%E -2.24%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:30
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -2.76%E -1.66%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -10.44%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 19:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.45%E -4.71%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -8.58%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.08%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.93%E -2.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -11.38%E -2.39%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -2.05%E -0.390%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.20%E -5.94%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:40
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.03%EV -6.86%E -4.32%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.71%EV -14.17%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -11.22%E -2.88%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.28%E -3.92%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -6.71%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:40
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -5.69%E -3.53%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -12.31%E -2.62%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -13.49%E -3.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.38%E -6.78%K -19.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.04%E -3.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.32%E -5.81%K -8.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-17 18:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-03-17 19:40