Language:English
Cardiff City v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cardiff City (Local)
Prediction 68.32%1.46fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.18%5.21fair odd
EV +6.62%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 5.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cardiff City (Local): 68.32%; Port Vale (Visit): 12.50%; Draw: 19.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 18:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 18:32 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |