A Escola das Odds

Cardiff City v Port Vale

Início: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Cardiff City 1–0 Port Vale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Previsão 68.32%1.46odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 12.50%8.00odd justa
EV +0.021%
Vantagem +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.18%5.21odd justa
EV +6.62%
Vantagem +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.096%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096%7.1%2026-04-22 18:30
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:23
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:34
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:20
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:34
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:32
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:30
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:54
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:19
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-04-22 18:40