La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cardiff City v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cardiff City (Local)
Predicción 68.32%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 12.50%8.00momio equitativo
EV +0.021%
Ventaja +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.18%5.21momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 18:23 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| BetUS | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 18:32 |
| theScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-22 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 18:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 18:40 |