StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cardiff City v Port Vale

Matchstart: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Cardiff City 1–0 Port Vale

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

53 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cardiff City (Hemma)

Prognos 68.32%1.46rättvist odds
EV -4.35%
Fördel -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Borta)

Prognos 12.50%8.00rättvist odds
EV +0.021%
Fördel +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.18%5.21rättvist odds
EV +6.62%
Fördel +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
Tillväxt +0.096%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cardiff City (Hemma): 68.32%; Port Vale (Borta): 12.50%; Oavgjort: 19.18%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.21. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.56, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.62%.

Spelbolagsodds (53 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096%7.1%2026-04-22 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:23
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:32
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:20
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:54
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 18:30
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-04-22 18:40