L’École des cotes

Cardiff City v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

Score final : Cardiff City 1–0 Port Vale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cardiff City (Local)

Prévision 68.32%1.46cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.50%8.00cote équitable
EV +0.021%
Avantage +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.18%5.21cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 5.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096%7.1%2026-04-22 18:30
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:00
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:23
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:34
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:20
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:34
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:32
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:20
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:30
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:54
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:19
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-04-22 18:40