النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Cardiff City v Port Vale

البداية: 2026-04-22 18:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cardiff City 1–0 Port Vale

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Cardiff City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.32%1.46السعر العادل
EV -4.35%
الأفضلية -3.11%
Kelly -10.88%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.51%68.12%68.40%70.04%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.75%73.53%71.43%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Port Vale (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.50%8.00السعر العادل
EV +0.021%
الأفضلية +0.003%
Kelly +0.003%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.38%12.59%12.48%16.06%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
5.817.497.508.0017.21%13.35%13.33%12.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 19.18%5.21السعر العادل
EV +6.62%
الأفضلية +1.19%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.096%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.56

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.79%19.29%19.12%21.20%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.844.905.5623.81%20.66%20.41%17.99%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

وفق آخر الأسعار قبل البداية، قدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ احتمالات سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩ كالآتي: ⁨Cardiff City (المضيف)⁩: ⁨68.32%⁩؛ ⁨Port Vale (الضيف)⁩: ⁨12.50%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨19.18%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨تعادل⁩، كان هذا التقدير يعادل سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.21⁩. عرضت شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعر إغلاق أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وكان أفضل سعر ⁨5.56⁩، بما يقابل قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+6.62%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.15%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.06%EV -27.36%E -4.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.79%EV +6.62%E +1.19%K +1.45%G +0.096%7.1%2026-04-22 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.76%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.20%E -0.431%K -0.536%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.46%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.96I 12.56%NM 11.87%EV -0.479%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.67%EV -2.96%E -0.586%K -0.730%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 18:35
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 18:23
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.86%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:54
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 18:34
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.11%E -0.823%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.56%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -7.48%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -5.07%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.03%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -9.98%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:44
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.04%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.28%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -6.03%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 18:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +0.021%E +0.003%K +0.003%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:35
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -15.61%E -2.31%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 18:32
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -7.95%E -1.66%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.25%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -3.10%E -0.401%K -0.460%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 18:30
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.33%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -9.36%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -8.91%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:20
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.84%EV -1.23%E -0.156%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.36%EV -14.98%E -2.20%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -9.87%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.48%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.87%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.79%E -2.56%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 18:30
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:54
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.16%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -18.73%E -2.88%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -13.70%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -6.23%E -0.831%K -0.958%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -19.46%E -4.63%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 18:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:40
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.92%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.03%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%0.7%2026-04-22 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.68%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.99%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32%1.1%2026-04-22 18:40
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 70.50%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.22%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%1.3%2026-04-22 18:40