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Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Cardiff City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 51.69%1.93справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.38%
Преимущество -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.88%51.85%51.65%53.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.91%55.56%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Bolton Wanderers (Гости)
Прогноз 24.62%4.06справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.961%
Преимущество +0.234%
Kelly +0.310%
Рост +0.003%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.76%24.43%24.75%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.603.803.754.1027.78%26.32%26.67%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 23.69%4.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.87%
Преимущество -0.701%
Kelly -0.926%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.80%23.72%23.61%26.15%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.883.904.1030.30%25.80%25.64%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Cardiff City (Хозяева): 51.69%; Bolton Wanderers (Гости): 24.62%; Ничья: 23.69%. Для исхода «Bolton Wanderers (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.06. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.961%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +0.961%E +0.234%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.45%EV +0.715%E +0.175%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -3.58%E -0.880%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.10%E -6.45%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.375%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.97%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -1.99%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.10%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.87%E -0.701%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 09:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.35%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.13%E -7.14%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 09:35 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |