Die Schule der Quoten

Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Cardiff City (Heim)

Prognose 51.69%1.93faire Quote
EV -4.38%
Vorteil -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
49.88%51.85%51.65%53.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.91%55.56%54.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Bolton Wanderers (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.62%4.06faire Quote
EV +0.961%
Vorteil +0.234%
Kelly +0.310%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.76%24.43%24.75%25.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.603.803.754.1027.78%26.32%26.67%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 23.69%4.22faire Quote
EV -2.87%
Vorteil -0.701%
Kelly -0.926%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.80%23.72%23.61%26.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.883.904.1030.30%25.80%25.64%24.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +0.961%E +0.234%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.45%EV +0.715%E +0.175%K +0.231%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -3.58%E -0.880%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.10%E -6.45%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.375%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.97%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -1.99%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:04
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:04
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.10%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.87%E -0.701%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:04
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.35%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:14
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.13%E -7.14%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 09:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-04-11 11:25