L’École des cotesCardiff City v Bolton Wanderers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cardiff City (Local)
Prévision 51.69%1.93cote équitable
EV -4.38%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.88%51.85%51.65%53.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.91%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.62%4.06cote équitable
EV +0.961%
Avantage +0.234%
Kelly +0.310%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%24.43%24.75%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.803.754.1027.78%26.32%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -0.926%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%23.72%23.61%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.904.1030.30%25.80%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +0.961%E +0.234%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.45%EV +0.715%E +0.175%K +0.231%G +0.002% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -3.58%E -0.880%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.10%E -6.45%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.375%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.97%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -1.99%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.10%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.87%E -0.701%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 09:35 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 09:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 11:05 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.35%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.13%E -7.14%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-11 09:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 11:25 |