La scuola delle quote

Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers

Inizio: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cardiff City (Casa)

Previsione 51.69%1.93quota equa
EV -4.38%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.88%51.85%51.65%53.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.91%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bolton Wanderers (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.62%4.06quota equa
EV +0.961%
Vantaggio +0.234%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.76%24.43%24.75%25.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.803.754.1027.78%26.32%26.67%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.69%4.22quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -0.701%
Kelly -0.926%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.80%23.72%23.61%26.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.883.904.1030.30%25.80%25.64%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +0.961%E +0.234%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.45%EV +0.715%E +0.175%K +0.231%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -3.58%E -0.880%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.10%E -6.45%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.375%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.97%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -1.99%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:04
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:04
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.10%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.87%E -0.701%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:04
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.35%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:14
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.13%E -7.14%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 09:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-04-11 11:25