مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers

البداية: 2026-04-11 11:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cardiff City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.69%1.93السعر العادل
EV -4.38%
الأفضلية -2.37%
Kelly -5.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.88%51.85%51.65%53.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.91%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bolton Wanderers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.62%4.06السعر العادل
EV +0.961%
الأفضلية +0.234%
Kelly +0.310%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.76%24.43%24.75%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.803.754.1027.78%26.32%26.67%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.69%4.22السعر العادل
EV -2.87%
الأفضلية -0.701%
Kelly -0.926%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.80%23.72%23.61%26.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.883.904.1030.30%25.80%25.64%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV +0.961%E +0.234%K +0.310%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:14
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.45%EV +0.715%E +0.175%K +0.231%G +0.002%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.56%EV -3.58%E -0.880%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 11:15
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -11.10%E -6.45%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.375%K -0.500%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:14
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.97%EV -9.03%E -5.13%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -1.99%E -0.501%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:25
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:04
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.16%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:04
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -2.73%E -0.692%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.26%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.10%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.50%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.36%EV -10.07%E -5.79%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -5.20%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 11:05
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:04
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.43%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 11:15
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 11:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 11:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.16%E -2.98%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.66%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.38%E -2.37%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:05
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -2.87%E -0.701%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 09:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:04
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.93%E -3.26%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.42%E -2.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 09:34
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -6.45%E -3.56%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -6.43%E -1.63%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 11:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -7.61%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Bet Right1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.79%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.55%E -5.46%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -8.89%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.35%E -3.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.97%E -3.87%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -8.52%E -4.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -5.24%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 11:04
Codere (IT)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.00%E -4.49%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 11:14
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.13%E -7.14%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -9.98%E -2.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-11 11:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -10.58%E -6.12%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -21.82%E -6.61%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-11 09:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-04-11 11:25