Language:English
York City v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
York City (Local)
Prediction 57.78%1.73fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -6.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.65%57.72%57.73%58.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.621.621.6665.79%61.65%61.73%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 19.37%5.16fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.85%19.42%19.38%20.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.734.705.0023.09%21.16%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.86%4.38fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.238%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.81%22.87%22.88%24.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.003.984.3326.67%24.98%25.16%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: York City (Local): 57.78%; Crawley Town (Visit): 19.37%; Draw: 22.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -4.09%E -2.46%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.98%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.09%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.27%EV -4.13%E -0.835%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.93%EV -4.92%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.24%EV -4.52%E -0.917%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -5.37%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.64%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.10%EV -4.71%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.26%EV -7.66%E -1.90%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -5.83%E -3.57%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.29%E -3.81%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -1.03%E -0.238%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.00%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.40%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -3.16%E -0.633%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.00%E -0.953%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 17:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -7.04%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 17:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -7.56%E -4.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.71%E -5.52%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-03 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -10.91%E -2.37%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.26%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.98%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.76%EV -9.72%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.29%E -5.92%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -16.14%E -3.73%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-03 18:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.60%EV -9.87%E -6.33%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.97%E -1.91%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.28%EV -11.77%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-03 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -12.18%E -8.01%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.85%E -2.85%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -13.15%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-03 17:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.86% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.62% | 0.5% | 2026-08-03 18:20 |
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