The School of Odds

York City v Crawley Town

2026-08-03 18:30 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: York City (Local)

Odds
1.6959.17%Min
1.7557.09%Mean
1.7756.50%Median
1.7756.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
51.10%1.957Min
54.68%1.829Max
52.88%1.891Mean
52.95%1.889Median
52.88%1.891IQM
53.02%1.886Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.77 under the IQM model: 52.88%

EV -6.41%Edge -3.62%Kelly -8.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Crawley Town (Visit)

Odds
3.7526.67%Min
3.9425.36%Mean
3.7526.67%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.00%4.761Min
24.12%4.146Max
22.44%4.457Mean
22.23%4.499Median
22.44%4.457IQM
22.33%4.479Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.44%

EV -1.28%Edge -0.291%Kelly -0.377%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.6927.14%Mean
3.6527.40%Median
3.8026.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.32%4.112Min
25.21%3.967Max
24.69%4.051Mean
24.82%4.028Median
24.69%4.051IQM
24.65%4.057Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.80 under the IQM model: 24.69%

EV -6.19%Edge -1.63%Kelly -2.21%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerYork City (Local) ▼Crawley Town (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.78I 56.18% NM 53.82%EV -5.88% E -3.30% K -7.53% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.29%EV +0.961% E +0.214% K +0.275% G +0.003%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.89%EV -4.96% E -1.29% K -1.74% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-26 16:20
BetRivers1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50% NM 51.10%EV -6.41% E -3.62% K -8.32% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.12%EV -15.87% E -4.23% K -5.77% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 24.78%EV -9.90% E -2.71% K -3.73% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14% NM 53.81%EV -7.46% E -4.26% K -9.95% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.40%EV -1.28% E -0.291% K -0.377% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.78%EV -6.19% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 02:59
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14% NM 52.04%EV -7.46% E -4.26% K -9.95% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.35%EV -12.50% E -3.21% K -4.31% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.61%EV -8.66% E -2.34% K -3.21% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-02 10:20
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80% NM 53.91%EV -8.52% E -4.93% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.54%EV -2.85% E -0.659% K -0.857% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.55%EV -6.19% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 16:19
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80% NM 53.91%EV -8.52% E -4.93% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.54%EV -2.85% E -0.659% K -0.857% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.55%EV -6.19% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 16:18
SportsBet1.72I 58.14% NM 54.06%EV -9.05% E -5.26% K -12.57% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.47%EV -2.85% E -0.659% K -0.857% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.47%EV -6.19% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 16:19
1xBet1.72I 58.14% NM 52.76%EV -9.05% E -5.26% K -12.57% G +0.000%4.12I 24.27% NM 22.03%EV -7.56% E -1.84% K -2.42% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.21%EV -11.13% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 11:59
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 52.85%EV -10.11% E -5.95% K -14.44% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 22.19%EV -9.14% E -2.26% K -3.00% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.96%EV -11.13% E -3.09% K -4.28% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:55
FanDuel1.69I 59.17% NM 54.68%EV -10.64% E -6.29% K -15.41% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.00%EV -1.28% E -0.291% K -0.377% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.32%EV -6.19% E -1.63% K -2.21% G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 51.56%EV -11.69% E -7.00% K -17.45% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.53%EV -10.26% E -2.56% K -3.42% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.91%EV -21.01% E -6.56% K -9.55% G +0.000%16.1%2026-06-26 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerYork City (Local)Crawley Town (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 16:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 16:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 16:19