The School of Odds

York City v Crawley Town

2026-08-03 18:30 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

York City (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV +0.311%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.403%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.10%56.27%56.64%57.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.651.7765%60%61%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Crawley Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.49%5.13fair odd
EV -0.588%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.26%19.92%19.48%24.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.374.605.1027%23%22%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.735%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%23.82%23.88%24.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.794.1029%26%26%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV +0.311%E +0.175%K +0.403%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -26.90%E -7.17%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -4.79%E -2.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.49%E -0.916%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 17:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.97%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -2.28%E -0.555%K -0.735%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.49%E -3.93%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.48%EV -6.63%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.98%EV -7.28%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -7.06%E -4.30%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.34%EV -7.62%E -4.68%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.69%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -2.54%E -0.508%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 07:35
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.19%E -5.06%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -10.33%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -0.588%E -0.115%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 17:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.76%E -5.44%K -14.36%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.60%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -8.39%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -6.44%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-20 19:38
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -9.32%E -5.83%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 18:35
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 57.13%EV -9.89%E -6.22%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 18.84%EV -6.05%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.03%EV -9.90%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 11:50
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -7.41%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.79%EV -9.90%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 11:49
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%EV -11.02%E -7.02%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.02%EV -15.60%E -3.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -16.58%E -4.74%K -6.63%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-24 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -11.59%E -7.43%K -20.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -18.13%E -4.32%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.53%EV -12.16%E -7.84%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.47%EV -12.28%E -2.73%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.00%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.62%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%7.7%2026-07-25 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-07-25 11:00